Champions League Last 16
Global 3-1
Chelsea vs Galatasaray SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHL
4 - 0
TOT
61%
21%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 3
CHL
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
67%
20%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
KAR
0 - 0
GAL
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GAL
6 - 1
AKB
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIZ
1 - 1
GAL
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 0
BJK
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |