Chelsea vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
MUD
3 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
CHL
4 - 3
NTT
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
FUL
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
FUL
2 - 1
EVE
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
FUL
3 - 4
MAC
51%
21%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
FUL
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 4
FUL
83%
11%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |