Chelsea vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
WOL
6 - 1
CHL
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
MUD
6 - 0
CHL
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
52%
19%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
FUL
1 - 6
SHW
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
BIR
1 - 0
FUL
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
FUL
1 - 2
WBA
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
FUL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
MAC
3 - 2
FUL
53%
20%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |