Chelsea vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
CHL
0 - 1
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHL
71%
16%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
75%
14%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 3
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 3
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1951 |
STO
1 - 1
FUL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
FUL
3 - 3
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 2
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 0
FUL
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1951 |
TOT
1 - 0
FUL
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |