FA Cup Last 16
Global 1-4
Chelsea vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
WBA
1 - 1
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
CHL
3 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 4
OPA
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 3
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
FUL
3 - 5
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 0
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 1
SUN
37%
24%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
0 - 1
FUL
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |