Chelsea vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
43%
24%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 2
FCB
16%
20%
63%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PSG
1 - 1
CHL
40%
24%
35%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
RBN
4 - 2
CHL
15%
21%
64%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 1
CHL
10%
18%
72%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
FCB
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 2
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 0
GYI
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |