Chelsea vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
0 - 1
BOU
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOT
0 - 0
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
MTA
0 - 4
CHL
18%
22%
59%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 0
CHL
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 1
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
FCP
0 - 2
DYN
56%
24%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 2
FCP
3%
12%
86%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |