Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2007 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
42%
27%
32%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
34%
28%
38%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 2
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 0
LIV
64%
21%
14%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
EVE
3 - 0
OPA
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
EVE
2 - 4
MUD
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WHU
1 - 0
EVE
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
EVE
2 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 1
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |