Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
LIV
4 - 1
CHL
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
CHL
3 - 0
CRY
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
CHL
1 - 0
LUT
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
LUT
2 - 2
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
EVE
1 - 0
QPR
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
EVE
4 - 0
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |