Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
STO
2 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 1
WBA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 2
HUR
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 5
OPA
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 3
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
STO
2 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |