Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 2
CHL
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 4
OPA
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
WOL
2 - 2
CHL
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
WBA
4 - 0
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 2
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
EVE
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |