Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
3 - 0
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
DER
1 - 0
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 0
OPA
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
BBU
2 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
EVE
4 - 1
HUR
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
EVE
4 - 2
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
SHW
1 - 3
EVE
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
EVE
5 - 1
SHE
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |