Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
BIR
1 - 1
CHL
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 3
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 0
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 4
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
59%
20%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
6 - 1
BCF
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |