Chelsea vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BHA
4 - 1
CHL
15%
23%
62%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
RBS
1 - 2
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 0
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 2
CHL
18%
23%
59%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 0
DZG
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
0 - 4
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
1 - 1
DZG
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
1 - 1
RBS
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |