Chelsea vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
CHL
3 - 1
NOT
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
SOU
3 - 1
CHL
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
CHL
1 - 1
LEI
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
LIV
3 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
CRY
2 - 2
LEE
15%
27%
58%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
DER
2 - 2
CRY
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
CRY
1 - 0
EVE
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
WHU
4 - 0
CRY
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
CRY
2 - 3
ARS
22%
29%
49%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |