Chelsea vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
SOU
2 - 2
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
CHL
0 - 0
WHU
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
CHL
1 - 0
IPS
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1969 |
WHU
2 - 0
CHL
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
CRY
1 - 3
LIV
28%
30%
42%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
CRY
0 - 2
TOT
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
SUN
0 - 0
CRY
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
EVE
2 - 1
CRY
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
CRY
2 - 0
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |