Chelsea vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BBU
2 - 3
CHL
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
SCA
0 - 1
CHL
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
BIR
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
CHL
4 - 0
WAT
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 4
CHL
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 2
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 0
WOL
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
GIL
3 - 2
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |