Chelsea vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 1
STO
57%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
LEI
3 - 0
CHL
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 0
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
1 - 3
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHL
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
CUM
2 - 0
ASV
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1974 |
OXF
0 - 1
CUM
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
BPO
4 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 0
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
CUM
2 - 1
NTT
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |