Chelsea vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
WHU
2 - 1
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
CHL
6 - 1
SHE
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
CAR
5 - 2
CHL
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUD
29%
21%
50%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
CAR
5 - 2
CHL
45%
23%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
TOT
3 - 2
CAR
87%
9%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1961 |
SHE
1 - 0
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |