Chelsea vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
BOL
4 - 0
CHL
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1955 |
EVE
3 - 3
CHL
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
SUN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHA
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |