Chelsea vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
BRI
1 - 0
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
CHL
4 - 1
SHW
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
BRA
4 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1910 |
BCF
3 - 1
TOT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 2
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
BCF
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
BCF
2 - 0
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
3 - 0
BCF
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |