Chelsea vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
MUD
5 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 3
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHE
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
STO
2 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 2
CHA
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
ASV
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
SUN
2 - 0
BUR
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1948 |
BPO
0 - 1
BUR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 1
EVE
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |