Chelsea vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 2
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
3 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
WHU
0 - 0
BUR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
BUR
5 - 1
WHU
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |