Chelsea vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 1
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 3
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
SUN
4 - 0
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
BRI
1 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
ARS
2 - 2
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 2
SHE
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |