Chelsea vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
ASV
2 - 2
CHL
66%
17%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
EVE
5 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 5
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARS
34%
23%
43%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
STO
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |