Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHL
5 - 0
BBU
73%
18%
9%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 0
ATM
67%
20%
12%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
18%
25%
58%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
APO
0 - 1
CHL
17%
24%
59%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 2
EVE
33%
29%
39%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOT
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 2
BOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 1
WHU
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |