Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
WOL
6 - 1
CHL
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
MUD
6 - 0
CHL
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
52%
19%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
CHL
2 - 4
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1960 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHL
38%
22%
39%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 1
WHU
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
LEI
2 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEI
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 2
ROT
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |