Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHL
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
CHL
1 - 3
BPO
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
CHL
3 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
STO
2 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 1
SUN
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 1
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 2
WOL
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |