Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
CHL
0 - 1
ASV
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
CHL
3 - 1
WOL
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
SHE
4 - 1
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
CHL
0 - 1
HUR
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1933 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPA
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
LEI
2 - 0
BOL
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 3
LIV
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 4
ARS
40%
24%
37%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
BOL
49%
21%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |