Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
WHU
2 - 0
CHL
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
CHL
0 - 0
WHU
64%
23%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 2
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 2
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
BOL
3 - 1
TOT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |