Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
4 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
SHE
0 - 2
BOL
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
ASV
1 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |