Chelsea vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 0
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
NTT
6 - 0
CHL
57%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 1
SHE
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
MID
0 - 1
BOL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 4
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 6
BCF
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |