Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
50%
23%
28%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
75%
17%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
42%
27%
32%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
PNE
1 - 0
BIR
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 0
SHW
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 3
BIR
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
LEI
1 - 2
BIR
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |