Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 0
CHL
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 0
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 2
LEI
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
MUD
4 - 0
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
BPO
3 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 0
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1965 |
LIV
4 - 3
BIR
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |