Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
SHW
1 - 0
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
BPO
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 1
FUL
63%
17%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
BIR
4 - 2
WHU
54%
21%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
NTT
1 - 0
BIR
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
PNE
2 - 3
BIR
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
BIR
1 - 0
FUL
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 0
BIR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |