Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
BUR
5 - 0
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 4
MUD
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
TOT
4 - 0
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1956 |
CHL
3 - 1
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1956 |
MAC
2 - 2
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
BIR
0 - 0
WOL
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
HUR
1 - 1
BIR
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 3
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 2
OPA
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |