Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHL
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
BPO
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
MID
2 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 2
CHL
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
MAC
4 - 0
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 1
FUL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
NEW
3 - 1
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |