Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1937 |
CHL
4 - 1
LEE
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
WBA
4 - 0
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1937 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
CHL
6 - 1
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1937 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
BIR
2 - 2
OPA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1937 |
BIR
3 - 1
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
STO
2 - 2
BIR
60%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
BIR
2 - 2
MAC
42%
23%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |