Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
BPO
4 - 0
CHL
51%
21%
27%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 3
DER
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 3
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
81%
12%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 4
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
WBA
1 - 0
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHW
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
LEE
1 - 1
BIR
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |