Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
BBU
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 3
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 2
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 2
MID
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
WHU
1 - 2
BIR
64%
18%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
47%
22%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BIR
0 - 0
MUD
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 3
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |