Chelsea vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1922 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 4
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
SUN
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1922 |
PNE
2 - 2
BIR
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 2
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |