Champions League Last 16
Global 1-7
Chelsea vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
53%
23%
24%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 2
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HUL
1 - 2
CHL
9%
18%
73%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 2
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
BYM
3 - 2
PAD
89%
9%
3%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 4
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BYM
0 - 0
RBL
70%
17%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
BYM
4 - 3
HOF
73%
16%
11%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
M05
1 - 3
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | +1 |