Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 6-5
Chelsea vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 3
CHL
17%
25%
57%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 1
CRY
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
CHL
1 - 0
WBA
80%
15%
6%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 2
FCB
46%
27%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHL
13%
24%
63%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 3
BYM
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BYM
3 - 1
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
S04
1 - 0
BYM
31%
26%
43%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 0
BYM
56%
23%
22%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
BYM
1 - 0
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |