Chelsea vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
13%
22%
65%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 1
NOR
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 1
WBA
80%
14%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
STO
0 - 0
CHL
16%
23%
62%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 3
CHL
22%
25%
54%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 4
LEV
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 0
BVB
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STU
0 - 1
LEV
37%
25%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
BRE
45%
23%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
M05
2 - 0
LEV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |