FA Cup 1/32
Global 4-0
Chelsea vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
18.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.1%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.1%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
7.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHL
7%
17%
77%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1994 |
CHL
4 - 2
EVE
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
SWI
1 - 3
CHL
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1993 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
BAR
0 - 1
HUR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHL
7%
17%
77%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 1
BUR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1993 |
BHA
1 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
HUL
4 - 4
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |