Champions League Last 16
Global 5-4
Chelsea vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHL
13%
24%
63%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 3
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
32%
27%
40%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHL
18%
26%
57%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
OSA
0 - 1
FCB
23%
26%
51%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 0
ESP
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
FCB
12%
23%
65%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 0
MLL
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |