Champions League Last 16
Global 3-0
Chelsea vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 0
CHL
12%
19%
69%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
35%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GET
0 - 0
ATM
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
53%
25%
22%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATM
41%
25%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
32%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |