Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
1 - 1
FUL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
34%
26%
41%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WIG
1 - 1
CHL
11%
21%
68%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 0
VCF
64%
20%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
STO
0 - 0
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
14%
22%
65%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |