Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
MID
1 - 1
CHL
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
EVE
1 - 3
CHL
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CHL
4 - 1
EVE
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
CHL
3 - 0
SUN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
ASV
3 - 4
LIV
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
ASV
2 - 1
WBA
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ASV
5 - 0
PNE
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |