Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MID
0 - 2
CHL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CHL
0 - 3
MUD
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FUL
0 - 1
CHL
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
BBU
0 - 0
CHL
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LEI
2 - 2
ASV
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 1
LEE
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
MID
2 - 1
ASV
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |